FORECASTING THE EXPORT POTENTIAL OF FODDER CORN PRODUCERS

Global food security is based on the uninterrupted supply of basic foodstuffs. In their structure, a significant place given to fodder corn, used for fattening livestock and poultry therefore exerts influence production meat, milk eggs. Ukraine occupies an essential position in world export corn along with USA, Brazil Argentina. Components potential are unique each country. At same time, growing global demand poses task producers increase productivity, volumes this crop. Goal. The purpose article analyze build predictive models determine distribution feed market leading countries, taking into account current situation related military aggression Ukraine. Method. process research, regression analysis was identify dependence between level volume indicators productivity prices studied countries; Holt method - building models, results which forecast exports constructed multiple equation; statistical analysis. results. achieving leadership positions market, countries underwent quantitative qualitative changes crop production. has increasing corn. Considering actions Ukraine, complicated logistics processes, study considers three scenarios: ideal Ukrainian have proper conditions transportation corn; negative cannot goods due lack its production; limited reduction cultivated areas, improper observance agricultural technologies limitations logistical capabilities limit Scientific novelty. factors affecting been identified. A developed. scenario carried out. Practical significance. value research lies development theoretical methodological provisions assessing country's potential.